Santaclarahawk
Well-known member
- Joined
- Feb 7, 2023
- Messages
- 2,853
Chiefs, Ravens, 49ers favored to have NFL's best records with win totals set at 11.5
The defending champion Chiefs have the best odds to have the NFL's best record.

The homer in me says take the over, but not overly confident in that bet.
Vegas has the uncanny knack of being spot on for the U/O lines.I had us at 7 or 8 games.
"Aging mid-tier QB?"I’d be tempted to take the under. It’s a new coach and coordinators with an aging mid-tier qb.
Exactly. Thats why they are so good about originally laying lines.It's nothing more than a representation of how people are, or are expected to, lay down their bets.
Bookies make their money by taking a percentage off of all bets, so their object is to reduce the risk of an unbalanced payout in which they may lose money if the wrong scenario plays out. So if more bets are coming in on over 7.5 than under, they'll raise it to 8.5 to encourage more bets on under.
Casual betting, including those who don't know a football from an odd-looking rock, will lay down a bet just for the hell of it, to bet on their team not really caring if they lose the bet. People who actually know their shit will stay away from betting altogether, knowing how unpredictable the result is this time of year and not wanting to waste their money.Exactly. Thats why they are so good about originally laying lines.
10% because he missed 2 games to injury.Geno’s production went down 10 percent from 2022 to 2023 overall. He returned to the Pro Bowl, but this time, it was as an alternate. Now, he no longer has Pete and Waldron who coached his comeback. His oc just came from college.
Even if Geno has plateaued, it’s not enough.
10% because he missed 2 games to injury.
I have zero faith in Waldron so I don't see a move to Grubb being a negative on Geno for 2024.
I would still put money on the over.